- 1 Aud usd прогноз
- 1.1 NZD/USD: After the storm, what’s next?
- 1.2 NZD/USD rises on relatively hawkish forecasts
- 1.3 NZD/USD pressured by the new government – levels
- 1.4 Jacinda Ardern will become New Zealand PM – NZD/USD
- 1.5 NZD under pressure ahead of the elections – what’s next?
- 1.6 AUD/NZD and EUR/NZD technical setups
- 1.7 Is NZD/USD about to turn?
Aud usd прогноз
The New Zealand dollar suffered during the latter part of the year due to political fear, especially as Jacinda Ardern was sworn in. But has it gone too far? Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: CIBC FX Strategy Research discusses NZD outlook, noticing that the post NZ election period has seen investors aggressively re-position their NZD bets. “From a record long skew at the end of July, positions have unwound to such an extent that new shorts are nearing mid-2015 extremes. So it’s not surprising that over the same period the currency has been by far the worst performing major…
NZD/USD: After the storm, what’s next?
The kiwi dollar had a rollercoaster period following the elections. Jacinda Ardern’s ascent to leading the country was accompanied by a big fall in the currency, especially due to the plans to change the RBNZ’s mandate. What’s next? Here are two opinions. Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: NZD/USD: Relatively Calm After A Busy Political Month, What’s Next? – ING ING FX Strategy Research discusses NZD outlook noting that after an eventful month, this week provides some relative calm for NZD with only second-tier manufacturing PMI and 3Q PPI inflation data to note (both Fri NZ local time). “The external…
NZD/USD rises on relatively hawkish forecasts
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is in a transitional period. The previous governor, Graeme Wheeler, is out. In his place, Grant Spencer is only in an interim role. The new government led by Jacinda Ardern is planning a change in the mandate of the central bank, perhaps giving it an employment mandate. So in the interim period, the decision to hold rates is not that important and not surprising either. The statements are not that important. However, the forecasts are made by the staff and they carry more weight, as the staff is probably here to stay. The forecasts see…
NZD/USD pressured by the new government – levels
The New Zealand dollar remains under pressure and is getting used to a new range. The kiwi has been on the back foot since the inconclusive elections on September 23rd. When the New Zealand First Party decided to go for Labour’s Jacinda Ardern, the kiwi continued south. Markets preferred the center-right National Party which is considered more market-friendly and also represented continuity. They have been in power for around nine years. New policy in New Zealand Apart from the uncertainty, the new government introduced and discussed a few measures that could hurt the currency directly. They want to change the…
Jacinda Ardern will become New Zealand PM – NZD/USD
Winston Peters, which held the balance of power for around three long weeks, decided to go for Labour leaders Jacinda Ardern. His NZ First Party will join the Greens in a coalition under Ardern. Markets preferred the incumbent Bill English of the more market-friendly National which held power for around a decade. Peters kept everybody waiting while he was taking his time for consultations and negotiations. The ministerial positions have not been decided just yet but it is clear that Peters will not become the finance minister. The currency doesn’t like it and falls by more than 1%. The high for…
NZD under pressure ahead of the elections – what’s next?
The New Zealand dollar is under pressure from all sides and against many currencies. What’s in store for NZD/USD and AUD/NZD? Here are several opinions: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: NZD: A Sell On Rallies Ahead Of A ‘Perfect Storm’ – ING ING FX Strategy Research argues that NZD/USD is a sell on rallies ahead of ‘perfect storm’ of rising yields & political risks. “With speculative markets still significantly net long NZD and signs of any political risk premium yet to reach extreme levels, we suspect a narrower focus on the 23 Sep elections could spell further weakness for NZD…
AUD/NZD and EUR/NZD technical setups
The New Zealand dollar doesn’t provide too many technical indicators, but it certainly has its share of technical setups. Here are two trading ideas: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: AUD/NZD: A ‘Fading Star’, What’s The Trade? – ANZ ANZ FX Strategy Research favors fading NZD strength from here arguing that the good news story is already well factored in at current elevated levels, and prefers to express that vs AUD. “We have a mildly negative bias towards the NZD…We think that the recent normalization in the AUD/NZD cross has some scope to continue. It has made an important technical…
Is NZD/USD about to turn?
I am looking at the NZDUSD chart. There are a few factors that are making me think it might be time for this pair to turn the tide. Th